Elektron: Electrical Systems in Retrospect and Prospect

JH Ausubel, C Marchetti. Technological Trajectories and the Human Environment 110–134 1997 Also appeared in Daedalus 125(3):139-169, Summer 1996.

…hookups reached 90 percent of the market by 1940. Rural areas joined the grid about one generat ion later than cities, reaching a midpoint of the process in 1943 versus…

Some Ways to Lessen Worries about Climate Change [PDF]

JH Ausubel. The Electricity Journal 14 (1): 24–33 2001

…comes through both hardware and software, through both markets and regulation. Markets allow us to average over larger spaces and longer times, lessening the consequence, for example, of a poor…

Energy and Environment: The Light Path

JH Ausubel. Energy Systems and Policy 15: 181–188 1991

…onto the bandwagon. Thus, if one looks at the changing use of boat, train, bus, and plane for intercity transport in China, the evolution of market shares resembles the rest…

Decarbonization: The Next 100 Years

…90% of the market.  In 1935 the elements tied.  With business as usual, hydrogen will garner 90% of the market around 2100. Because carbon becomes soot or the feared greenhouse gas CO2,…

Death and the Human Environment: The United States in the 20th Century [PDF]

JH Ausubel, PS Meyer, IK Wernick. Technology in Society 23 (2): 131–146 2001

…14 points of market share in the past 40 years, cardiovascular disease looks vulnerable.  Other paths descend quickly, once they bend downward.  We predict an 80-year drop to about 20…

Can Technology Spare the Earth?

JH Ausubel. Am Sci 84 (2): 166–178 1996 Republished in Current Perspectives in Geology, Fourth Edition, Michael McKinney, Robert L. Tolliver, Parri Shariff, eds., Wadsworth, Boston, MA, 1998.

…for stable signals amid the noise of the daily news. The historical analyses shared here, many contributed to an ongoing project at The Rockefeller University on technological trajectories and the…

Restoring the Forests

DG Victor, JH Ausubel. Foreign Affairs 79 (6): 127–144 2000

…others, such as Russia, could focus on improving forest institutions. Sten Nilsson of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis has shown that Russia has great potential to spare trees…