Decarbonization: The Next 100 Years
…2020, leading to a fleet of 500 5 GW ZEPPs by 2050. This does not seem an impossible feat for a world that built today’s worldwide fleet of some 430 nuclear…
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Reasons to Worry About the Human Environment
JH Ausubel. Journal of the Cosmos Club of Washington D.C
8 (1):
12
1998
Republished in Technology in Society 21:217-231, 1999.
…1994. 30 – F J Sulloway, Born to Rebel, Pantheon, New York, 1996. 31 – International Labor Organization (ILO), Yearbook of Labour Statistics, 55th Issue, ILO, Geneva; International Labor Organization, World…
Because the Brain Does Not Change, Technology Must
JH Ausubel. Production Efficiencies: The Engineers' Report, American Association of Engineering Societies, Washington, D.C.
14–18
1999
Republished in: IEEE Aerospace and Electronic SYSTEMS 14(10):3-6, October 1999. The paper is based on a talk Jesse gave at the UN Commission on Sustainable Development meetings in New York in April 1999.
…forward to globally? If during the next 60 to 70 years, the world farmer reaches the average yield of today’s USA corn grower, the ten billion people then likely to…
Working Less and Living Longer: Long-Term Trends in Working Time and Time Budgets
JH Ausubel, Arnulf Grübler. Technological Forecasting and Social Change
50:
113–131
1995
…Gershuny J.I. and Robinson J. (1989) ‘Multinational Comparisons of Change in the Household Division of Labor’, Paper prepared for International Workshop on the Changing Use of Time, Brussels, 17-18 April….
Simulating the Academy: Toward Understanding Colleges and Universities as Dynamic Systems
JH Ausubel, R Herman, WF Massy, SV Massy. What Higher Education is Doing Right, W.F. Massy and J.W. Meyerson, eds., Princeton University
107–120
1997
120
…or react to the performance evaluation. Unscheduled events arising exogenously or because of some condition within the simulation: e.g., a stock-market crash, a dean or professor pleads a case or…
Technical Progress and Climatic Change
JH Ausubel. Energy Policy
23 (4/5):
411–416
1995
Also pp. 501-512 in Integrated Assessment of Mitigation, Impacts, and Adaptation to Climate Change, N Nakicenovic, WD Nordhaus, R Richels, and FL Toth (eds), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 1994.
…Invention to Application, National Academy, Washington DC., USA, pp. 45-100. Starr, C. and Rudman, R., 1973, Parameters of technological growth, Science 182:358-364. Taylor, J.W.R., ed., 1984, Jane’s All the World’s Aircraft 1984-1985, Jane’s,…
Human Population Dynamics Revisited with the Logistic Model: How Much Can Be Modeled and Predicted?
C Marchetti, PS Meyer, JH Ausubel. Technological Forecasting and Social Change
53:
1–30
1996
…by academics, other national or international nongovernmental agencies, or the World Bank. Another source of data is the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) project run by the Institute for Resource…
The Forester’s Lever: Industrial Ecology and Wood Products
IK Wernick, PE Waggoner, JH Ausubel. Journal of Forestry
98 (10):
8–14
2000
…On industry-owned forests, yields exceed by half those on national forests and private nonindustrial land (Haynes 1990 Powell et al. 1993). Nationally, although the forest industry owns only about one-seventh…
Death and the Human Environment: The United States in the 20th Century [PDF]
JH Ausubel, PS Meyer, IK Wernick. Technology in Society
23 (2):
131–146
2001
…are assigned a “basic cause” through the use of the “Rules for the Selection of Basic Cause” stated in the Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases. Geneva: World…
Chernobyl After Perestroika: Reflections on a Recent Visit
JH Ausubel. Technology in Society
14:
187–198
1992
…up in public squares. Prostitution is less subtle than in the past. The black market exchange rate appeared to make the average monthly Russian salary about 10 or 20 dollars,…