Expertise
Economist trained in math and statistics;
extensive experience in long-term environmental and energy system projections at
global and national levels, managing large databases, and modeling technological
change.
Current positions
2/99 - Present Researcher,
'Program for the Human Environment,' Rockefeller University,
New York City http://phe.rockefeller.edu/
Analysis of
technical change bearing on the environment; projects have included study of
materials flows in US electricity sector; production, use, recycling, and
disposal of cadmium in context of "industrial ecology"; rates and patterns of
technical change in information and computer industries.
7/99 - Present
Researcher, Cowles Foundation, Economics Department, Yale U., New
Haven
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~nordhaus/homepage/economics_and_geography.htm
With
Prof. William Nordhaus, developing new spatially referenced economic data set
called G-ECON to explore relationships among economic activity, development, and
geography.
Previous work experience
11/93 -
Research Scholar, Project on ‘Environmentally Compatible Energy
Strategies,
12/98 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
(IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
Research in long-term development of economic
& energy systems at regional and global scales, including scenarios of
infrastructure financing, trade in energy carriers, and environmental impacts;
collaboration with international organizations, including World Energy Council
(WEC) & Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Highlights:
1998—Research team, IIASA/WEC comprehensive
report on long-term energy and economic development scenarios, energy system
financing requirements, and environmental impacts: Global Energy
Perspectives’, N. Nakicenovic, A.Grübler, and A.McDonald, eds
(Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1998).
1997—Presenter:
‘Economic Development and Energy Intensity: Past Trends and Future
Projections in World Regions,’ International Energy Workshop, Energy
Modeling Forum, Laxenburg, Austria, IIASA, 23–25 June; reviewer, IPCC
Technical Paper, ‘Technologies, Policies, and Measures for Mitigating
Climate Change.’
1996—Research and editorial assistant, review of
economic and scientific analysis of climate change: Climate Change:
Integrating Science, Economics, and Policy, N. Nakicenovic, W.D. Nordhaus,
R. Richels and F.L. Toth, eds (Laxenburg,
IIASA).
1995—Contributor,IIASA/WEC report on long-term scenarios for
economic and energy development: Global Energy Perspectives to 2050 and
Beyond (London, WEC).
3/93 - Analyst, Department of
‘Reform Strategies,’ International Fund for Economic and
11/93 Social Reforms, Moscow, Russia
Researched
the short-term development of Russian economy; made short-term projections for
inflation, exchange rates, GDP growth; reviewed documents and official
statements of Russian government.
1992 - Assistant Professor,
Department of ‘Social and Economic Aspects of Technological
1993
Change,’ Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
Lectures
on technological change and role of research and development in the economy.
6/92- Summer Research Scientist, International Institute for Applied
Systems Analysis, 9/92 Laxenburg, Austria
Participated in
Young Scientists' Summer Program of IIASA project “Economic Transition and
Integration.” Research compared R&D in US and Russia.
1984
- Teaching and Research assistant, Department of ‘System
Analysis,’ Moscow
1987 Engineering Physics Institute,
Moscow, Russia.
Supervised students, helped prepare sourcebook
‘Decision Support Systems,’ and assisted preparing reports for
various government ministries.
Selected consulting and advisory
activities
2001 Division for Environmental Programmes,
United Nations Office of Project
Services, NewYork,
‘World Energy Assessment’ report (translation into Russian)
2000
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Working Group III: Mitigation
of
Climate Change, SRES writing team,
http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/
1999 UN Division for
Sustainable Development, Energy and Transport Branch, New York
Scenario
development of energy systems at the global and regional levels,
with
emphasis on developing countries; analysis of renewable energy supply
technologies.
1999 Consortium for International Earth Science
Information NetworkCIESIN),
Columbia University,
Palisades, New York, helped implement web-based framework to
query and visualize results from "integrated assessment" models of global
energy
system, atmosphere, and climate change.
1993-
Russian Government and Parliament, including Ministry of Science,
Ministry of
1992 Transport, and Russian Federation State Parliament, policy
and project analyses.
Education
1987 – Moscow
State University, Department of Economics, Moscow, Russia
1992 Ph.D.with emphasis on mathematical modeling of technological changes.
1978 - Departments of Economics and Mathematics, Moscow State
University,
1983 Moscow, Russia
Selected
publications
Victor, N. M. and Ausubel, J.H.,
'DRAMs as Model
Organisms for Study of Technological Evolution,' Technological Forecasting
and Social Change 68:1-20, 2001.
Nakicenovic, N., Victor, N., and
Morita, T., ‘Emissions Scenarios Database and Review of Scenarios,’
in Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 3: 95-120,
1998.
Victor, D.G., Nakicenovic, N., and Victor, N., ‘The Kyoto
Protocol Carbon Bubble: Implications for Russia, Ukraine, and Emission
Trading,’ Interim Report 98-094, IIASA, Laxenburg, 1998.
N.
Makarova, 'Conditions for R&D in Higher Education Institutions in the U.S.
and Russia: A Comparison,' in: Glaziev, S., Schneider, C.M., eds., Research
and Development Management in the Transition to a Market Economy, CP-93-001,
pp. 173-205, IIASA, Laxenburg, 1993.
Skills
Computers:
Windows and Unix systems; MS Office (including Word, Excel, Visual Basic,
Access, Powerpoint); Lotus 1-2-3; SPSS; MatLab, ARC/INFO; ArcView;
Internet.
Analytical methods: econometric models, linear programming
energy system models, statistical analysis.
Other
information
Birth date: 21 May 1961
Languages: Russian (native);
Married: David G. Victor (Robert W. Johnson, Jr., Senior Fellow for Science
and Technology, Council on Foreign Relations, New York; US citizen)
Like
working in teams, fast learner.
References
Jesse H.
Ausubel
Director, Program for the Human Environment, The Rockefeller
University
ausubel@mail.rockefeller.edu
William D.
Nordhaus
Professor of Economics, Yale
University
william8@snet.net
Nebojsa Nakicenovic
Senior Scientist,
International Institute for Applied Systems
Analysis
naki@iiasa.ac.at